This Cinephile

Thursday, March 01, 2018

Oscar Rankings and Predictions

Sunday is the most wonderful day of the year - Oscar night! I have ranked everything I've seen (admittedly, not much this year). Also, here are my predictions on what will win, what should win and what was snubbed.

Best Film
01. Call Me By Your Name
02. Lady Bird
03. The Shape of Water
04. Dunkirk
05. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
06. Get Out
N/A The Darkest Hour
N/A Phantom Thread
N/A The Post
What WILL win - This year seems wide open and it looks like it could go any number of ways. While part of me thinks (and hopes!) Dunkirk is going to come in and surprise everyone with a last minute come from behind win, the momentum is squarely behind The Shape of Water and THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI, which I think will come out victorious.
What SHOULD win - Call Me By Your Name was a sexy, romantic epic that was lush and beautiful and heartbreaking and should win everything.
What was SNUBBED - A Ghost Story, which is still on my mind months after watching it.

Best Director
01. Christopher Nolan for Dunkirk
02. Guillermo Del Toro for The Shape of Water
03. Greta Gerwig for Lady Bird
04. Jordan Peele for Get Out
N/A Paul Thomas Anderson for Phantom Thread
What WILL Win - Again, I'm hoping for an out of nowhere win for Christopher Nolan, but I think this year is all about GUILLERMO DEL TORO.
Who SHOULD win - Nolan.
Who was SNUBBED - Luca Guadagnino, who is the master of sensuality, and proved it with Call Me By Your Name.

Best Actor
01. Timothee Chalamet in Call Me By Your Name
02. Denzel Washington in Roman J. Israel, Esq.
03. Daniel Kaluuya in Get Out
N/A Daniel Day-Lewis in Phantom Thread
N/A Gary Oldman in The Darkest Hour
Who WILL Win - GARY OLDMAN has had this wrapped up for months.
Who SHOULD Win - Oldman is my very favorite actor and I think he should have 5 Oscars by now. He more than deserves this. But, Chalamet is mesmerizing in Call Me By Your Name. He should win every award in the world.
Who was SNUBBED - Just like almost every other year, Jake Gyllenhaal for Stronger.

Best Actress
01. Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
02. Saiorse Ronan in Lady Bird
03. Sally Hawkins in The Shape of Water
N/A Margot Robbie in I, Tonya
N/A Meryl Streep in The Post
Who WILL win - Just like her male counterpart, FRANCES MCDORMAND has had this wrapped up for months.
Who SHOULD win - I didn't care for Three Billboards, but there is no denying McDormand is a live wire in it. Although I loved Ronan equally, so I wouldn't complain if she won.
Who was SNUBBED - I guess not enough people saw Lady MacBeth because Florence Pugh was better than every single actor nominated.

Best Supporting Actor
01. Richard Jenkins in The Shape of Water
02. Woody Harrelson in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
03. Sam Rockwell in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
N/A Willem Dafoe in The Florida Project
N/A Christopher Plummer in All the Money in the World
Who WILL Win - This has got SAM ROCKWELL's name all over it.
Who SHOULD Win - I love Rockwell and think he deserves to win an Oscar for a number of different performances... but not this one. I can't remember the last time I was so delighted by a performance as I was with Richard Jenkins.
Who was SNUBBED - Michael Stuhlbarg, who gave such a powerful closing speech in Call Me By Your Name, I can't believe he hasn't been recognized at all this year.

Best Supporting Actress
01. Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird
02. Octavia Spencer in The Shape of Water
N/A Mary J. Blige in Mudbound
N/A Alison Janney in I, Tonya
N/A Lesley Manville in Phantom Thread
Who WILL win - There was a time some months ago, I thought the females of Lady Bird would be sweeping the Oscars, but that seems like such a distant thought now. Looks like this is all ALISON JANNEY.
Who SHOULD win - Laurie Metcalf forever.
Who was SNUBBED - Since they are giving out nominations to tons of put upon moms this year, where is Holly Hunter for The Big Sick??

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